Predicting Heart-Disease Deaths

New Test Can Predict Heart Fatalities

Diastolic dysfunction, a common form of heart trouble, worsens over time and may even lead to an increased risk of heart failure, says a new study.

 

A new way of evaluating heart-failure patients in the emergency room could mean the difference between life and death, according to new research.

The “risk score” developed by a team of experts at The Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences in Toronto was able to distinguish the likelihood of a particular patient dying within seven days of coming into an E.R.

The method, called the Emergency Heart Failure Mortality Risk Grade (EHMRG), will help physicians decide whether a patient needs hospitalization or can be sent home.  Researchers drew up the test after examining the cases of patients who died within a week of coming into the emergency room with heart failure.

The authors cautioned that the EMHRG isn’t the only tool physicians should use; they should also take into account their own judgment as well as other factors including the “ability of the patient to seek follow-up care” as well as his or her “social circumstances.”

The team published the results of the study in the “Annals of Internal Medicine.”

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