Producer Price Index Expected to Rise Only 0.1 Percent

The Producer Price Index, which measures price changes before they reach the consumer, are expected to have risen only 0.1 percent in May, according to Bloomberg Businessweek.

This comes after the Labor Department released its Consumer Price Index, which, excluding food and energy, increased 0.3 percent, the largest gain since July 2008. In April, it rose 0.2 percent.

The mix of a weak economy and inflation has many economist worried.

"I assume people will look at this as another reason the recovery is stalling, giving more fodder to the double dip [recession] theory," said Paul Radeke, vice president at KDV Wealth Management in Minneapolis, to Reuters.

Overall the CPI indicates that U.S. households are spending 3.6 percent more to buy the same goods they did last year. The increase is higher than expected, but TIME points out that this may in fact be a good thing.

"Inflation is a sign of economic activity," writes Stephen Gandel of TIME. "Just ask China. Inflation in that country is running in the double digits. Yet, China's growth economy seems to be what everyone wants right now."

"Economist... expected the CPI this morning to say that inflation in the past year was 3.3 percent. Instead, it turns our prices rose 3.6 percent. That's a sign that the economy is strong than expected, not weaker," he added.

Despite Gandel's optimistic outlook, citizens, and their government, don't like runaway inflation. Even the emerging giant China is trying to slow its inflation at the cost of growth and is currently raising interest rates. Reuters predicts that the U.S. federal government may start to feel pressure to inject the economy with a stimulus because of the rise of core inflation, even though the recovery is not far off track. In fact, the low PPI prediction will hopefully mean a lower CPI increase next month. Paul Ballew, a former Federal Reserve economist and now the chief economist at Nationwide, told The New York Times that the CPI data was “not great news” but also “not devastating.”  "It is not that inflation is roaring ahead," Ballew said, "but there are enough price pressures to put a squeeze on consumers and businesses."
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